Updated: Jul 3
In spite of Joe Biden’s taking of the proverbial cake on Super Tuesday, the race to be the Democratic Nominee is still nowhere near a foregone conclusion.
If like me, you’re an overseas onlooker to the Democratic Primaries, you’re probably a little confused and a little uncertain about what’s happening - I know I am.
Super Tuesday, the day in which the highest number of delegates are to be won by Democratic candidates, has just passed us by.
As you may be aware, it resulted in Joe Biden winning enough delegates to overtake the early-leader Bernie Sanders.
Since then, the language surrounding both the Biden & Sanders campaigns has shifted. Biden is now on the offensive, with Sanders having to reactively counter the points Biden is making. Whilst, in my estimation, Sanders is much better at setting the agenda, this is hardly a defeat in the making for Sanders.
However, the language surrounding the overall primary process has shifted too. This is largely guided by the media, who never fail to be whipped up into a frenzy when covering the talent-show-like proceedings of the U.S. Primaries.
The common notion is that because of Joe Biden’s miraculous turnaround, he is destined to ride this momentum right into the Oval Office.
If life were that simple; if U.S. politics were that simple.
Whilst no one can ignore Biden’s turnaround – and certainly, no one can deny it is quite the about-face, it doesn’t necessarily represent the miracle some outlets are purporting it to be.
Biden’s success has largely come from condensing the moderate vote into himself, through the elimination of his rival moderates: Amy Klobuchar, Pete Buttigieg, Tom Steyer.
Conversely, Sanders’ sub-par performance can be attributed to Warren’s refusal to follow suit with her moderate counterparts and drop out before Super Tuesday. However, since she’s has dropped out, you can expect to see a bump in Sanders’ poll numbers and results as the primaries continue.
Though, what may clinch it for Biden is the departure of and endorsement from former New York City Mayor, Michael Bloomberg. At the time he dropped out, he was polling in third, meaning his endorsement carries significant weight.
Though, as things stand, just under two-thirds (64.89%) of delegates are still up for grabs. Strong showings in the key midwestern states will be key for whoever gets the nomination. Should the eventual nominee have not won the midwestern states, the race against Trump would be made increasingly difficult before it even begins.
From here on, the primaries will be coming thick and fast. So strap in, because it’s all still to play for.